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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.10+2.34vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.21+1.91vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.34-0.01vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-0.43+0.31vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.67-0.26vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.25-0.47vs Predicted
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7Ohio University0.13-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Miami University0.100.2%1st Place
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3.91Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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2.99Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.31Ohio University-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.74Ohio State University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.53Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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3.17Ohio University0.130.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Burson | 19.2% | 21.3% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 8.9% |
| Ryan Mabie | 23.8% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Sackett | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 21.0% | 12.8% |
| Andrew Lenzo | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 22.6% | 20.9% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 45.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 22.3% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.