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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+6.07vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13+1.71vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.64+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+4.60vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+2.51vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.09+0.60vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.44-2.63vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.19+2.24vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.19+1.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.74-2.37vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.05-4.30vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39+0.94vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.54-4.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.84-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.41-1.18vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.40-2.38vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07University of Washington-2.557.0%1st Place
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3.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1321.9%1st Place
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5.06Stanford University1.6412.6%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.823.4%1st Place
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7.51California Poly Maritime Academy0.885.5%1st Place
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6.6University of Southern California1.097.6%1st Place
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4.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.4415.9%1st Place
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10.24San Diego State University0.192.1%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Davis-0.192.9%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Berkeley0.745.9%1st Place
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6.7University of Hawaii1.056.7%1st Place
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12.94Arizona State University-0.391.0%1st Place
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8.69Western Washington University0.543.8%1st Place
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14.71University of California at San Diego-1.130.9%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Irvine-0.841.4%1st Place
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14.82University of California at San Diego-1.410.4%1st Place
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14.62California State University Channel Islands-1.400.4%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Los Angeles-2.100.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 21.9% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whidden | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Cuyler | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Conze | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.9% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 22.3% |
| Brayden Money | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.2% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 23.4% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 20.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.