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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+2.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.60+3.09vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16+1.09vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57-0.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.79-0.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.19-0.32vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.33-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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5.09Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.09Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.38Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University1.190.1%1st Place
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6.92University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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3.04University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 22.3% | 22.8% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Emily Croteau | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 19.2% | 9.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 12.8% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Rolfe Glover | 19.6% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 5.2% |
| Taylor Fasolo | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 25.2% | 20.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 59.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 23.7% | 21.0% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.