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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+2.03vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.60+3.12vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16+1.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72-0.88vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57-1.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.19-0.31vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.33-0.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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5.12Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.09Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.190.1%1st Place
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6.92University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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4.64Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 24.0% | 21.3% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Emily Croteau | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 21.4% | 9.5% |
| Peter Christensen | 13.3% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 22.6% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Rolfe Glover | 17.3% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Fasolo | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 25.3% | 19.7% |
| Judas Taylor | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 58.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.