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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+3.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.57+1.39vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+0.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-1.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.19-0.31vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60-1.89vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.33-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.39Tufts University2.570.2%1st Place
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3.06Harvard University2.750.2%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.190.1%1st Place
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5.11Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.9University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 12.8% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 18.2% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 23.8% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 7.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 22.8% | 22.3% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Fasolo | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 23.2% | 21.1% |
| Emily Croteau | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 11.8% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 21.2% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.