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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+1.63vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.60+2.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72-0.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+0.28vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.16-1.39vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.33-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.33-0.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.22-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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4.58Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.77University of Rhode Island2.720.3%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.61Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.53University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 29.5% | 25.8% | 18.0% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Croteau | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 4.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 26.7% | 23.8% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 3.1% |
| Peter Christensen | 13.9% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 9.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 26.5% | 40.3% |
| Steven Honig | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 25.3% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.