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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+2.53vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+2.28vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.60+1.53vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-2.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.33-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.33-0.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.22-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.53Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.73Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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2.75University of Rhode Island2.720.3%1st Place
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4.99Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.56University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.3% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Emily Croteau | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 4.8% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 27.4% | 24.2% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 28.7% | 23.0% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 8.8% |
| Judas Taylor | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 12.1% | 27.0% | 40.5% |
| Steven Honig | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 25.4% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.