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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.16+2.55vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.60+2.60vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75-0.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-2.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.33-1.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.22-0.33vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.33-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.6Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.71Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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2.74University of Rhode Island2.720.3%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
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6.48University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Christensen | 14.5% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 4.8% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 27.5% | 24.5% | 20.5% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 10.9% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 27.7% | 24.5% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 8.8% |
| Steven Honig | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 23.5% | 45.8% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 15.6% | 27.1% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.