← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.75+1.63vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.33+3.05vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.60+1.53vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.16-0.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.72-2.22vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.79-1.78vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire0.33-0.45vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University0.22-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63Harvard University2.750.3%1st Place
-
5.05Tufts University1.330.1%1st Place
-
4.53Boston University1.600.1%1st Place
-
3.62Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
2.78University of Rhode Island2.720.3%1st Place
-
4.22Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.55University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
-
6.62Tufts University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 29.4% | 24.0% | 20.7% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Giacobbe | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 16.8% | 9.5% |
| Emily Croteau | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 4.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 14.4% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 25.9% | 25.3% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Paige | 10.3% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Judas Taylor | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 27.8% | 39.8% |
| Steven Honig | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 25.9% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.