Race 1A

fall-fury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Noah Rosenthal 7.8% 9.6% 9.5% 11.1% 13.8% 13.7% 14.2% 9.6% 6.4% 3.4% 0.9%
Charles Bocklet 21.3% 20.3% 17.7% 13.7% 10.2% 8.2% 5.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Alison Kent 19.5% 19.2% 18.8% 15.0% 10.1% 8.8% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 7.2% 8.8% 7.5% 9.4% 12.9% 14.9% 12.4% 12.3% 8.4% 4.8% 1.4%
Whitney Kent 18.1% 16.9% 17.4% 13.0% 12.4% 8.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1%
John Schneider 8.2% 8.7% 8.8% 13.0% 10.5% 13.4% 10.7% 11.8% 8.7% 4.5% 1.7%
Riley Sorber 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 1.8% 3.0% 3.9% 6.8% 13.7% 17.2% 46.1%
Jacob Henley 3.0% 2.8% 3.2% 5.0% 6.5% 7.7% 9.3% 12.2% 15.8% 20.6% 13.9%
Libby Reeg 4.3% 3.7% 4.9% 3.8% 7.6% 6.5% 10.7% 14.9% 17.5% 16.4% 9.7%
Eric Villadsen 7.4% 5.7% 8.3% 10.3% 9.9% 10.5% 14.8% 12.8% 12.1% 6.2% 2.0%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 3.5% 4.3% 4.6% 7.0% 9.8% 14.3% 26.3% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.