Race 2A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.2% 3.7% 4.9% 6.5% 10.3% 16.1% 26.3% 25.9%
Charles Bocklet 22.2% 19.0% 16.5% 14.5% 10.5% 8.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Whitney Kent 15.7% 15.9% 15.8% 16.1% 13.3% 9.0% 8.1% 3.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 7.0% 8.1% 7.8% 11.7% 11.6% 14.4% 11.6% 14.2% 7.6% 4.7% 1.3%
John Schneider 7.9% 8.9% 10.1% 12.2% 11.8% 11.4% 11.8% 10.8% 9.6% 4.3% 1.2%
Libby Reeg 3.9% 3.0% 5.9% 4.4% 6.6% 8.3% 11.9% 14.0% 16.9% 15.8% 9.3%
Riley Sorber 1.2% 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 3.2% 4.9% 7.3% 12.0% 16.8% 46.3%
Jacob Henley 3.3% 2.6% 3.7% 4.5% 5.6% 8.4% 11.0% 13.4% 15.5% 19.2% 12.8%
Eric Villadsen 5.8% 7.1% 6.7% 8.6% 10.5% 11.6% 14.4% 12.3% 11.8% 8.8% 2.4%
Alison Kent 22.6% 20.0% 18.4% 13.2% 10.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 8.8% 11.8% 11.5% 10.7% 14.4% 12.7% 10.1% 9.2% 6.6% 3.4% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.