Race 3A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Noah Rosenthal 7.2% 9.0% 10.9% 10.4% 14.8% 13.1% 14.3% 10.7% 5.8% 2.9% 0.9%
Alison Kent 22.1% 19.5% 18.9% 12.5% 10.9% 7.9% 4.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 19.5% 17.5% 16.6% 16.9% 10.8% 9.3% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 8.9% 11.4% 15.1% 17.8% 17.6% 8.3%
Ryan Clulo 8.1% 8.5% 10.3% 10.4% 12.9% 11.2% 12.4% 11.8% 7.6% 5.5% 1.3%
Eric Villadsen 5.4% 7.8% 6.4% 8.7% 11.1% 11.4% 13.1% 14.1% 12.6% 6.2% 3.2%
Whitney Kent 19.8% 19.0% 15.0% 14.6% 12.3% 8.2% 5.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Jacob Henley 3.3% 2.4% 3.6% 4.9% 4.7% 9.1% 9.6% 12.7% 18.5% 18.3% 12.9%
Riley Sorber 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 3.4% 4.3% 6.9% 9.5% 18.5% 49.7%
John Schneider 9.3% 9.3% 9.5% 12.2% 10.8% 11.8% 13.6% 10.6% 7.9% 4.1% 0.9%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.4% 2.0% 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 5.7% 6.3% 9.7% 16.1% 26.0% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.