Race 4A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alison Kent 19.5% 20.7% 17.0% 16.3% 10.9% 8.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Charles Bocklet 21.5% 20.5% 15.5% 14.8% 11.1% 7.5% 5.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
John Schneider 7.4% 8.0% 9.1% 11.0% 10.3% 12.2% 14.5% 12.6% 9.1% 5.0% 0.8%
Ryan Clulo 7.2% 7.7% 9.4% 8.9% 13.4% 12.7% 12.9% 13.0% 9.2% 4.3% 1.3%
Whitney Kent 18.8% 16.6% 16.4% 14.0% 11.5% 9.0% 7.3% 4.0% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 6.7% 9.1% 9.9% 14.8% 16.6% 16.4% 9.9%
Noah Rosenthal 10.0% 10.4% 10.8% 12.5% 12.4% 13.9% 12.0% 8.8% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0%
Eric Villadsen 7.0% 6.3% 8.6% 8.4% 11.5% 12.5% 13.3% 11.6% 12.1% 6.8% 1.9%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 2.6% 4.4% 6.9% 10.0% 15.0% 22.1% 29.4%
Jacob Henley 2.8% 2.6% 4.6% 3.9% 6.3% 6.9% 10.0% 12.4% 18.2% 20.6% 11.7%
Riley Sorber 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.5% 8.0% 11.5% 20.9% 43.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.