Race 5A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Bocklet 20.0% 18.7% 16.9% 15.2% 13.1% 8.5% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 9.5% 8.9% 10.8% 12.2% 12.4% 13.9% 10.4% 10.9% 7.1% 3.2% 0.7%
Whitney Kent 15.9% 16.4% 17.3% 14.4% 11.4% 11.4% 6.0% 5.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
John Schneider 7.2% 8.0% 9.8% 8.5% 12.3% 14.4% 13.9% 11.2% 8.9% 4.2% 1.6%
Riley Sorber 1.2% 1.0% 2.1% 1.5% 3.4% 2.5% 3.9% 7.1% 10.9% 20.1% 46.3%
Eric Villadsen 5.6% 7.9% 6.5% 8.9% 10.4% 10.7% 15.6% 11.8% 11.9% 8.2% 2.5%
Jacob Henley 3.0% 4.6% 2.3% 4.6% 6.6% 6.4% 9.0% 13.6% 17.7% 19.3% 12.9%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 2.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 5.7% 8.5% 9.3% 14.5% 24.0% 26.3%
Ryan Clulo 7.8% 7.8% 11.0% 11.7% 10.9% 10.3% 13.6% 11.7% 10.0% 3.7% 1.5%
Libby Reeg 4.0% 3.8% 4.0% 6.9% 6.3% 9.6% 10.5% 14.5% 16.4% 15.9% 8.1%
Alison Kent 23.7% 21.5% 16.8% 13.3% 10.3% 6.6% 4.3% 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.