Race 6A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Bocklet 21.1% 22.0% 16.8% 15.9% 10.2% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 9.6% 9.7% 12.9% 13.8% 13.0% 13.9% 11.5% 8.2% 5.5% 1.8% 0.1%
Alison Kent 22.2% 20.6% 17.9% 14.7% 10.7% 7.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Whitney Kent 19.2% 16.6% 16.4% 16.1% 13.7% 8.5% 5.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
John Schneider 9.7% 9.5% 11.2% 9.4% 14.1% 13.5% 13.7% 9.8% 6.4% 2.3% 0.4%
Conor Daniel Claflin 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 3.4% 5.6% 5.1% 10.1% 15.1% 24.0% 29.8%
Eric Villadsen 7.5% 8.7% 8.8% 9.6% 12.9% 13.6% 13.7% 12.4% 7.3% 4.1% 1.4%
Jacob Henley 3.3% 2.6% 4.0% 5.1% 6.7% 10.5% 13.0% 15.7% 15.6% 14.2% 9.3%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 2.0% 2.3% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 5.5% 9.1% 11.5% 18.4% 22.4% 19.5%
Riley Sorber 0.9% 1.8% 1.2% 3.0% 2.8% 3.6% 7.1% 10.3% 13.1% 20.9% 35.3%
Libby Reeg 3.4% 4.6% 6.7% 7.0% 8.5% 10.4% 13.5% 15.6% 16.3% 9.9% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.