Race 8A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alison Kent 21.9% 20.7% 18.5% 15.2% 11.0% 7.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 22.5% 22.0% 16.5% 14.3% 10.7% 7.3% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Whitney Kent 17.1% 15.6% 17.9% 15.3% 13.2% 11.0% 5.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 9.3% 9.3% 9.1% 12.0% 15.9% 15.0% 12.0% 9.3% 5.4% 2.2% 0.5%
Patrick Power 10.8% 11.2% 14.0% 13.8% 14.8% 11.1% 11.9% 7.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Riley Sorber 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 3.8% 6.4% 7.7% 13.9% 21.7% 37.9%
Conor Daniel Claflin 1.4% 2.8% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 4.9% 7.5% 11.4% 15.5% 20.8% 28.9%
Jacob Henley 3.6% 2.5% 4.1% 6.0% 6.1% 9.9% 12.2% 14.6% 16.4% 15.4% 9.2%
Libby Reeg 3.8% 4.4% 4.6% 5.2% 7.7% 9.4% 13.7% 17.7% 14.8% 13.0% 5.7%
Eric Villadsen 6.9% 8.1% 8.5% 9.9% 11.8% 14.0% 13.4% 14.1% 8.3% 3.9% 1.1%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 3.3% 4.4% 6.2% 8.9% 12.5% 19.8% 21.7% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.