Race 9A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alison Kent 22.0% 22.2% 16.1% 14.0% 12.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Patrick Power 11.2% 10.3% 14.5% 13.3% 11.9% 11.1% 10.9% 8.2% 6.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 8.3% 8.3% 9.4% 9.1% 11.5% 12.5% 13.9% 12.1% 9.1% 5.0% 0.8%
Whitney Kent 17.3% 17.8% 16.0% 14.5% 12.4% 10.0% 6.1% 3.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Korbin Kierstead 14.1% 11.5% 12.2% 13.1% 12.8% 11.9% 9.8% 8.0% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.2% 5.5% 6.1% 8.2% 16.5% 25.2% 25.7%
Jacob Henley 3.1% 4.9% 3.0% 3.2% 6.7% 7.2% 9.2% 12.6% 19.7% 17.8% 12.6%
Libby Reeg 4.5% 3.6% 4.8% 6.0% 9.3% 7.5% 10.5% 14.7% 16.1% 16.3% 6.7%
Eric Villadsen 6.3% 7.3% 7.3% 10.1% 8.5% 11.2% 14.2% 14.2% 10.1% 8.2% 2.6%
Noah Rosenthal 10.6% 11.2% 12.6% 11.4% 9.5% 13.2% 11.1% 10.5% 5.9% 3.7% 0.3%
Jessica Gula 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.9% 4.1% 6.7% 8.4% 19.6% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.