Race 10A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Whitney Kent 16.5% 18.8% 16.9% 14.3% 12.4% 9.1% 5.7% 4.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Alison Kent 25.4% 20.4% 16.1% 13.3% 9.1% 8.5% 4.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Korbin Kierstead 11.1% 11.2% 13.8% 11.8% 11.8% 13.8% 11.6% 8.2% 4.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Patrick Power 10.0% 10.3% 11.7% 12.1% 12.9% 11.9% 12.6% 8.5% 6.2% 3.5% 0.3%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 2.5% 2.3% 2.6% 2.2% 3.8% 4.9% 6.5% 10.1% 14.6% 26.0% 24.5%
Noah Rosenthal 10.2% 9.8% 11.0% 11.6% 11.6% 12.7% 10.2% 10.8% 7.1% 4.0% 1.0%
Ryan Clulo 10.1% 9.5% 10.2% 11.0% 12.2% 10.5% 13.2% 11.5% 7.3% 3.6% 0.9%
Eric Villadsen 7.3% 6.9% 8.4% 11.7% 9.8% 10.0% 13.2% 12.7% 10.5% 7.2% 2.3%
Jessica Gula 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 5.1% 10.0% 17.9% 53.9%
Jacob Henley 2.6% 4.1% 3.4% 4.4% 5.8% 7.8% 8.6% 12.3% 19.4% 21.0% 10.6%
Libby Reeg 3.2% 5.5% 4.9% 5.5% 8.8% 7.9% 11.2% 14.7% 18.4% 13.8% 6.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.