Race 11A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Noah Rosenthal 9.4% 9.7% 12.5% 12.6% 15.1% 15.2% 11.1% 8.7% 3.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.9% 4.7% 6.0% 8.8% 12.3% 18.7% 21.5% 17.4%
Alison Kent 24.4% 19.9% 18.5% 14.6% 11.0% 6.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 2.9% 4.4% 5.5% 6.6% 6.7% 10.3% 13.9% 16.8% 16.0% 12.8% 4.1%
Korbin Kierstead 12.9% 15.5% 13.0% 14.4% 13.4% 11.7% 9.3% 5.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Patrick Power 12.1% 13.4% 12.8% 13.3% 14.4% 11.9% 10.7% 6.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Conor Daniel Claflin 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 2.1% 3.2% 4.8% 8.1% 10.4% 15.0% 23.6% 25.4%
Whitney Kent 21.7% 20.7% 16.6% 15.1% 9.6% 8.2% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Henley 3.7% 3.8% 3.7% 4.6% 6.9% 7.8% 11.0% 15.6% 19.5% 14.0% 9.4%
Eric Villadsen 8.1% 6.9% 10.1% 10.8% 13.1% 13.3% 13.5% 11.1% 8.4% 3.2% 1.5%
Jessica Gula 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 4.6% 5.2% 9.9% 10.4% 21.2% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.