Race 12A

fall-fury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alison Kent 24.2% 23.2% 18.0% 14.2% 9.7% 6.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 10.8% 11.8% 12.4% 12.8% 13.0% 11.8% 12.7% 9.0% 3.9% 1.7% 0.1%
Patrick Power 10.5% 11.3% 13.2% 14.4% 13.6% 12.2% 12.7% 6.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Korbin Kierstead 13.1% 12.1% 11.9% 15.2% 15.6% 11.8% 9.8% 6.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Whitney Kent 21.9% 18.5% 19.0% 13.5% 11.8% 7.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.4% 6.1% 8.4% 11.8% 18.1% 21.5% 19.5%
Conor Daniel Claflin 1.6% 2.7% 2.8% 2.4% 2.2% 6.1% 7.5% 10.7% 14.3% 23.6% 26.1%
Jessica Gula 1.0% 1.5% 1.9% 1.2% 2.4% 3.0% 5.0% 8.8% 14.7% 20.2% 40.3%
Eric Villadsen 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 10.9% 11.1% 15.8% 13.3% 11.2% 9.3% 4.5% 1.4%
Libby Reeg 4.9% 4.6% 6.1% 6.4% 9.3% 9.8% 12.4% 16.0% 13.9% 12.4% 4.2%
Jacob Henley 3.0% 4.3% 4.2% 5.8% 6.9% 9.1% 10.9% 16.6% 17.7% 13.6% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.