Race 13A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Korbin Kierstead 10.5% 11.8% 13.4% 13.6% 13.2% 12.7% 11.2% 6.7% 4.4% 2.0% 0.5%
Alison Kent 24.8% 21.3% 16.1% 12.5% 10.1% 6.7% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Whitney Kent 17.0% 17.4% 15.7% 15.8% 11.4% 9.3% 7.1% 3.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 8.0% 8.7% 8.6% 10.4% 12.4% 12.1% 13.5% 12.2% 8.5% 4.6% 1.0%
Patrick Power 11.1% 12.0% 13.8% 11.1% 10.9% 13.3% 10.4% 9.3% 6.2% 1.5% 0.4%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 3.7% 3.4% 4.2% 6.5% 9.9% 14.1% 27.5% 25.1%
Libby Reeg 5.3% 3.9% 4.7% 5.5% 7.6% 8.6% 10.8% 14.4% 17.0% 15.2% 7.0%
Noah Rosenthal 10.7% 10.6% 11.6% 11.9% 12.4% 11.2% 11.8% 9.7% 6.9% 2.7% 0.5%
Jessica Gula 0.8% 1.5% 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 6.2% 9.5% 18.4% 52.9%
Eric Villadsen 8.1% 6.6% 8.9% 9.7% 9.4% 12.1% 10.7% 14.1% 11.2% 6.7% 2.5%
Jacob Henley 2.4% 4.3% 3.7% 4.4% 6.8% 7.4% 9.5% 11.2% 19.2% 21.0% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.