Race 1B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Soren Walljasper 41.0% 27.5% 14.7% 10.4% 4.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 21.6% 25.0% 22.7% 16.4% 9.1% 3.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 10.9% 12.1% 17.1% 22.3% 18.5% 12.8% 4.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Isabella Hamilton 13.3% 19.3% 23.1% 20.2% 14.1% 7.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 5.7% 7.3% 9.1% 11.9% 21.9% 21.0% 13.7% 7.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Charles Tokowitz 4.5% 4.8% 6.5% 9.8% 15.4% 22.3% 19.9% 12.1% 4.0% 0.7%
Beatrice Rodrigues 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.6% 2.7% 4.9% 12.4% 21.0% 29.5% 25.8%
John Stack 0.5% 1.4% 2.4% 2.9% 4.5% 10.1% 16.6% 22.5% 25.0% 14.1%
Benjamin Diamond 1.5% 1.7% 2.9% 3.6% 6.9% 12.9% 21.9% 23.0% 17.8% 7.8%
Grace Curtin 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 2.1% 3.8% 6.9% 12.0% 21.8% 51.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.