Race 2B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Isabella Hamilton 15.9% 19.4% 20.9% 18.6% 13.1% 8.0% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Soren Walljasper 39.1% 27.0% 20.1% 9.9% 3.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 10.6% 13.7% 15.7% 21.9% 18.9% 12.2% 5.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 21.4% 24.5% 23.0% 17.3% 9.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 5.6% 6.4% 9.2% 13.6% 20.2% 22.1% 13.9% 6.6% 2.0% 0.4%
Charles Tokowitz 4.2% 5.3% 5.9% 9.2% 17.4% 21.1% 19.0% 13.1% 4.2% 0.6%
Benjamin Diamond 1.4% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 7.9% 13.4% 22.7% 23.4% 18.0% 6.5%
John Stack 0.8% 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 5.3% 10.0% 15.6% 23.1% 24.8% 14.7%
Beatrice Rodrigues 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 2.6% 3.1% 5.8% 11.6% 19.8% 29.3% 25.7%
Grace Curtin 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 3.3% 7.5% 11.3% 21.5% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.