Race 3B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Soren Walljasper 41.4% 27.1% 16.6% 8.6% 4.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 21.9% 25.1% 22.6% 15.7% 9.6% 4.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabella Hamilton 15.0% 18.1% 19.8% 21.1% 16.1% 7.6% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 3.4% 6.7% 9.8% 14.7% 20.8% 21.2% 15.5% 5.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Charles Tokowitz 4.0% 5.6% 7.5% 8.7% 14.2% 25.5% 19.2% 12.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Mason Chrabaszcz 11.5% 14.1% 18.3% 20.4% 17.7% 11.5% 5.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Benjamin Diamond 1.4% 1.1% 2.0% 5.1% 6.8% 13.3% 24.3% 27.0% 15.7% 3.3%
John Stack 0.7% 1.0% 2.4% 3.2% 5.7% 9.3% 16.3% 26.9% 28.8% 5.7%
Beatrice Rodrigues 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 3.8% 5.2% 13.6% 21.3% 38.8% 12.6%
Abby Kerschner 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.8% 1.1% 2.2% 5.8% 11.7% 77.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.