Race 4B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Soren Walljasper 41.8% 25.7% 16.9% 8.8% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 21.9% 24.1% 23.1% 16.7% 9.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Tokowitz 3.9% 5.0% 6.3% 9.5% 16.2% 21.5% 21.7% 12.0% 3.6% 0.3%
Isabella Hamilton 12.8% 19.6% 22.8% 20.0% 14.4% 7.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 6.1% 6.7% 9.8% 13.3% 21.7% 20.4% 14.1% 6.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Mason Chrabaszcz 10.8% 14.9% 16.6% 21.7% 17.4% 14.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Benjamin Diamond 1.4% 1.0% 2.3% 4.6% 6.4% 14.2% 23.2% 26.9% 16.5% 3.5%
Beatrice Rodrigues 0.3% 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% 4.4% 5.9% 14.1% 20.4% 38.9% 11.8%
John Stack 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 2.9% 4.9% 10.4% 16.7% 27.9% 26.9% 6.8%
Abby Kerschner 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 3.3% 4.8% 11.9% 77.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.