← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.11+1.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.56+0.86vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.29+1.86vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota1.18-1.57vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.84-2.14vs Predicted
-
7University of Iowa-1.97+1.41vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota0.08-2.80vs Predicted
-
9Northern Michigan University-1.19-1.75vs Predicted
-
10Hope College-1.58-2.07vs Predicted
-
11University of Notre Dame-1.64-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.17University of Wisconsin2.110.4%1st Place
-
2.86University of Wisconsin1.560.2%1st Place
-
5.86Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
3.43University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.86Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
-
8.41University of Iowa-1.970.0%1st Place
-
5.2University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
-
7.25Northern Michigan University-1.190.0%1st Place
-
7.93Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Notre Dame-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 41.2% | 26.2% | 16.9% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 22.3% | 24.8% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 19.9% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 13.1% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 12.2% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Beatrice Rodrigues | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 39.4% |
| Michael Valverde | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Diamond | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 18.7% | 23.1% | 16.9% | 12.3% |
| John Stack | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 26.8% | 21.5% |
| Nicholas Acampora | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 25.4% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.