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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Soren Walljasper 41.2% 26.2% 16.9% 8.7% 4.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 22.3% 24.8% 21.0% 15.7% 10.2% 4.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Tokowitz 3.0% 5.6% 6.1% 8.1% 15.1% 20.0% 19.9% 14.8% 6.2% 1.2%
Isabella Hamilton 13.1% 19.8% 21.4% 20.0% 13.4% 8.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 12.2% 12.5% 17.6% 21.8% 18.4% 9.0% 6.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Beatrice Rodrigues 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 6.2% 9.5% 15.3% 21.0% 39.4%
Michael Valverde 4.5% 5.7% 9.4% 14.3% 18.4% 22.6% 14.3% 7.2% 3.0% 0.6%
Benjamin Diamond 1.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.3% 7.9% 10.5% 18.7% 23.1% 16.9% 12.3%
John Stack 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 5.6% 8.2% 14.4% 17.9% 26.8% 21.5%
Nicholas Acampora 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 3.2% 3.5% 8.2% 12.8% 18.7% 25.4% 24.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.