← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.56+1.87vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota0.08+0.07vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.84-2.08vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University-0.29-1.41vs Predicted
-
8University of Minnesota1.18-4.62vs Predicted
-
9Northern Michigan University-1.37-1.59vs Predicted
-
10Hope College-1.58-2.36vs Predicted
-
11University of Notre Dame-2.54-2.09vs Predicted
-
12University of Iowa-1.97-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.87University of Wisconsin1.560.2%1st Place
-
2.03University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
-
5.07University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
-
3.92Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
-
5.59Northwestern University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
3.38University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
-
7.41Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
7.64Hope College-1.580.0%1st Place
-
8.91University of Notre Dame-2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.18University of Iowa-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 21.5% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 43.7% | 27.0% | 17.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 8.0% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 22.5% | 19.3% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Tokowitz | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 23.4% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 14.6% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 21.4% | 25.0% | 20.8% | 8.7% |
| John Stack | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 24.0% | 23.5% | 14.3% |
| Grace Curtin | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 51.8% |
| Beatrice Rodrigues | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 29.1% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.