Race 1A

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Alexandra Arntsen 7.3% 6.5% 8.1% 9.2% 8.8% 7.7% 8.5% 9.0% 10.9% 11.7% 7.3% 4.2% 0.8%
Jennifer Adler 14.4% 12.7% 12.5% 12.2% 11.3% 9.6% 7.9% 5.7% 6.3% 3.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Catherine Swanson 9.0% 12.0% 12.0% 9.7% 10.1% 9.4% 10.4% 9.3% 6.8% 5.5% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Chandler Salisbury 10.5% 9.6% 11.0% 11.8% 8.9% 9.0% 9.2% 9.0% 7.9% 6.3% 5.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Stephanie Hudson 14.1% 15.7% 11.2% 10.5% 8.7% 12.0% 7.8% 7.1% 4.7% 5.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Haley Powell 7.9% 8.6% 8.3% 8.8% 7.7% 8.9% 10.0% 9.1% 9.7% 8.0% 8.6% 3.9% 0.5%
Liv Gunnarsson 8.8% 7.5% 7.8% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.9% 9.5% 9.7% 10.9% 8.0% 4.3% 0.6%
Genoa Warner 9.3% 10.1% 8.9% 8.4% 10.0% 11.0% 9.1% 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 4.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Morgan Russom 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 6.7% 8.9% 7.9% 10.1% 10.3% 9.1% 9.5% 10.1% 5.8% 1.3%
Phoebe Sprague 6.4% 6.1% 6.5% 6.9% 8.8% 6.7% 7.7% 9.8% 9.5% 9.8% 12.9% 6.5% 2.4%
Erica Lush 3.7% 3.3% 4.8% 6.4% 5.7% 5.7% 7.1% 7.3% 9.8% 12.8% 16.2% 12.7% 4.5%
Ann Sager 1.0% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 2.2% 3.2% 4.7% 5.1% 10.1% 33.6% 32.3%
Brooke Doyon 0.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 7.1% 22.9% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.