Race 12B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlie Kutschenreuter 44.9% 25.6% 16.6% 7.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 20.6% 23.1% 24.3% 16.5% 10.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 5.3% 6.4% 9.0% 12.6% 19.9% 20.6% 15.7% 8.3% 1.9% 0.3%
Mason Chrabaszcz 7.6% 15.7% 17.1% 21.7% 18.9% 11.2% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Charles Tokowitz 4.0% 5.4% 6.9% 9.4% 15.1% 22.7% 17.9% 12.7% 4.4% 1.5%
Isabella Hamilton 14.4% 19.0% 20.9% 20.2% 13.3% 8.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Nicholas Acampora 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 2.7% 4.3% 7.0% 15.5% 20.0% 24.7% 23.3%
Cortney Kingsley 0.8% 1.9% 2.4% 3.8% 6.4% 10.4% 15.6% 22.6% 20.6% 15.5%
Beatrice Rodrigues 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 2.4% 2.9% 6.1% 10.6% 15.4% 24.1% 36.4%
John Stack 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 3.4% 4.9% 7.8% 15.2% 18.6% 23.6% 23.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.