Race 13B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Charlie Kutschenreuter 43.9% 28.6% 14.5% 7.9% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 10.1% 13.8% 17.5% 21.1% 19.4% 12.0% 4.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Carolyn Keck 20.8% 25.4% 22.4% 17.3% 8.8% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 4.0% 6.1% 9.7% 15.0% 20.6% 21.6% 16.5% 4.9% 1.6% 0.0%
Cortney Kingsley 1.6% 1.5% 3.6% 3.1% 7.7% 9.5% 22.0% 25.6% 21.1% 4.3%
Isabella Hamilton 15.5% 18.5% 21.2% 20.2% 15.3% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Tokowitz 3.0% 3.6% 7.4% 9.8% 15.7% 26.4% 19.2% 11.7% 2.8% 0.4%
Beatrice Rodrigues 0.3% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 3.6% 7.3% 12.8% 24.6% 35.0% 11.8%
Abby Kerschner 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.6% 1.6% 3.0% 4.7% 12.0% 77.1%
John Stack 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 3.4% 4.6% 9.6% 18.4% 26.9% 27.1% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.