Race 1A

harry-anderson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Charles Lomax 5.9% 5.7% 5.5% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 4.9% 5.3% 5.4% 6.1% 5.8% 5.2% 7.0% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 5.4%
Avery Fanning 9.7% 9.5% 9.0% 8.7% 7.7% 8.2% 6.9% 7.2% 7.1% 5.2% 4.2% 5.6% 3.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.8% 0.6%
Joseph Kiss 7.1% 6.1% 6.7% 7.8% 6.5% 7.4% 4.9% 5.3% 5.7% 7.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.9% 4.9% 5.1% 3.3% 2.8%
Connor Corgard 7.1% 7.9% 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 5.6% 6.0% 6.4% 6.9% 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 6.6% 3.6% 4.9% 4.4% 2.8%
Ryan Astwood 7.0% 7.9% 6.4% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.0% 5.6% 6.3% 6.5% 6.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 4.6% 4.7% 2.6%
Andrew Mollerus 6.5% 6.3% 6.9% 7.1% 6.4% 6.2% 6.8% 8.2% 6.3% 6.9% 4.8% 5.8% 5.3% 5.8% 5.0% 3.3% 2.4%
Alexander Stewart 6.3% 5.1% 6.6% 5.2% 5.7% 5.8% 6.6% 7.7% 7.4% 5.5% 7.9% 6.7% 5.4% 5.0% 5.7% 4.8% 2.6%
Robert Floyd 5.3% 4.1% 7.3% 6.2% 5.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.6% 4.7% 5.4% 6.1% 6.1% 6.6% 6.8% 6.5% 7.3% 7.1%
Sean Cornell 4.6% 5.3% 5.9% 4.9% 6.5% 6.6% 6.2% 5.9% 7.8% 6.4% 6.1% 5.2% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 4.7% 4.1%
Raul Rios 10.1% 9.6% 9.0% 9.3% 8.3% 7.6% 8.1% 6.4% 5.6% 5.2% 4.9% 5.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8%
Scott Barbano 5.6% 5.6% 4.3% 5.4% 5.1% 5.0% 6.3% 6.1% 4.6% 5.6% 6.8% 5.8% 7.4% 6.5% 7.0% 8.1% 4.8%
Will Holz 5.2% 5.4% 6.4% 5.9% 6.2% 5.8% 4.8% 6.0% 6.7% 6.2% 5.6% 6.5% 5.5% 7.3% 5.5% 7.0% 4.0%
William Crary 3.2% 3.4% 2.4% 3.0% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 4.6% 5.6% 6.9% 4.6% 9.7% 9.0% 11.7% 17.6%
Bradley Adam 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 5.8% 7.4% 6.1% 6.3% 5.6% 5.2% 7.2% 6.0% 6.4% 6.2% 6.1% 6.3% 3.5% 2.9%
Nathan Allman 4.2% 5.3% 3.6% 4.8% 5.5% 4.7% 5.1% 4.9% 4.7% 4.8% 7.1% 5.9% 7.0% 7.1% 8.2% 8.5% 8.6%
Maximiliano Agnese 4.6% 4.2% 5.7% 6.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.8% 6.3% 5.7% 5.6% 6.5% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 5.8% 4.5% 5.2%
Kyle Comerford 1.6% 2.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 3.2% 3.2% 5.2% 4.7% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 5.4% 9.1% 13.6% 25.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.