Race 2A

harry-anderson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Raul Rios 11.5% 10.8% 9.7% 7.4% 7.1% 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 6.5% 5.7% 4.1% 5.3% 3.5% 2.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Andrew Mollerus 6.9% 7.7% 7.4% 7.1% 6.7% 6.0% 6.9% 6.0% 6.6% 7.0% 6.2% 6.5% 4.9% 5.0% 4.6% 3.1% 1.4%
Connor Corgard 7.0% 6.5% 6.8% 8.1% 5.7% 6.9% 5.8% 6.0% 6.1% 6.5% 6.2% 4.8% 6.8% 5.2% 5.1% 3.7% 2.8%
Ryan Astwood 6.9% 7.8% 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 6.0% 5.6% 5.7% 6.8% 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 5.9% 5.4% 4.7% 3.5% 3.7%
Bradley Adam 7.4% 7.1% 5.8% 6.9% 7.3% 7.3% 5.2% 6.8% 6.8% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 5.8% 4.1% 4.8% 4.8% 2.8%
Avery Fanning 8.7% 8.5% 8.5% 8.8% 9.7% 7.5% 6.6% 7.0% 5.1% 5.5% 6.5% 4.4% 4.2% 4.0% 1.8% 2.2% 1.0%
Joseph Kiss 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 4.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 6.9% 7.3% 6.9% 6.9% 7.1% 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% 4.4% 1.9%
Scott Barbano 5.9% 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 5.9% 5.6% 5.3% 4.5% 5.6% 6.5% 6.0% 6.5% 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 5.5% 5.7%
Alexander Stewart 5.4% 4.7% 5.1% 6.8% 6.7% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 6.3% 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7%
Will Holz 4.9% 4.7% 7.0% 6.8% 4.6% 6.7% 8.1% 5.9% 6.5% 5.6% 6.0% 5.5% 5.7% 6.3% 5.9% 5.8% 4.0%
Charles Lomax 5.0% 5.3% 4.6% 4.3% 4.9% 5.5% 4.8% 5.8% 5.2% 5.9% 5.0% 6.7% 6.2% 8.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7%
Robert Floyd 4.4% 4.7% 5.9% 5.6% 5.5% 5.3% 5.0% 4.5% 6.3% 5.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.6% 5.4% 7.2% 8.4% 6.2%
Sean Cornell 5.9% 6.0% 5.0% 4.3% 5.0% 6.7% 8.2% 6.4% 7.0% 6.0% 5.6% 6.4% 6.5% 6.1% 5.2% 4.9% 4.8%
Maximiliano Agnese 4.9% 6.3% 4.8% 5.9% 6.2% 4.6% 6.2% 5.4% 5.2% 6.5% 6.5% 5.7% 6.9% 6.8% 6.9% 6.6% 4.6%
Nathan Allman 4.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% 5.0% 5.3% 4.1% 4.2% 5.0% 7.7% 6.4% 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.5% 8.7%
Kyle Comerford 2.4% 1.0% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 3.3% 5.0% 5.2% 7.2% 7.9% 7.9% 13.4% 24.0%
William Crary 1.8% 3.0% 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.4% 6.8% 4.4% 4.8% 4.1% 5.1% 5.6% 7.9% 10.2% 11.4% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.