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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+7.14vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+7.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.81vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+4.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+3.15vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+2.41vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.40vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52+0.92vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38+0.88vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-0.04vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.59-2.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-2.71vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-2.27vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.37vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.34vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.34Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.92Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.88Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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9.96Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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12.39SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Will Holz | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| William Crary | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 17.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.