← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.58vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.50vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania3.51+6.08vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.69vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University3.52+3.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.90+5.75vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.34vs Predicted
-
8Boston College4.12-1.42vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.70-0.46vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.79-2.21vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida3.59-2.03vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.60vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.38-3.18vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.72-5.60vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.47-5.73vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.73-7.76vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.27-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
9.08University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
-
9.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.85Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
11.75University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
12.34SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
6.58Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
8.54Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
7.79Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.97University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.82Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
-
8.4Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.27Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.24Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
10.22Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Will Holz | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| William Crary | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 18.9% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 22.3% |
| Raul Rios | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.