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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.52vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+6.12vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+5.31vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+3.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90+4.61vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79-0.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.59+0.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.70-1.84vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.17vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.29vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.27-2.70vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.20vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-5.39vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.51-6.86vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.04Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.01University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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12.29SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.3Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.61Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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9.17Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| William Crary | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 25.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Will Holz | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.