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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+7.46vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+6.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+5.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.86vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+4.43vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+2.45vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47+1.11vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-0.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.59-3.20vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.53vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-4.76vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-6.64vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-4.33vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.92Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.8University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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12.47SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.24Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Raul Rios | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 24.0% |
| Will Holz | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| William Crary | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.