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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+3.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+3.56vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+3.63vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.10+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.86+1.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29-0.67vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.53-2.27vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.81-1.32vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.21-0.52vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-3.58vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-3.97vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.04-0.96vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut0.51-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.56Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island2.860.1%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.73Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.48Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.03Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.04University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Swanson | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Adler | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Erica Lush | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 3.9% |
| Haley Powell | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Ann Sager | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 33.1% | 32.2% |
| Brooke Doyon | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 22.7% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.