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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.59+7.54vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+5.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.76vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+5.16vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+3.10vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+0.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+3.17vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.73+0.07vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.51+0.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.52vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.15vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-2.74vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.50vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-1.51vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-3.46vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.72-7.72vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.38-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.54University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.1Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.17Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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12.49SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.74Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Will Holz | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 26.4% |
| William Crary | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 17.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.