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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.63vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+6.08vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+6.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+4.05vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.51vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+2.44vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70+1.36vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.42vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.41vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.59-1.34vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-1.20vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-2.79vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.53vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-4.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-3.48vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.27-5.78vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.44Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.8Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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12.47SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.2Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.22Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Raul Rios | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Bradley Adam | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 25.1% |
| Will Holz | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| William Crary | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 17.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.