Race 11A

harry-anderson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Joseph Kiss 8.3% 7.4% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 6.6% 6.2% 5.6% 6.5% 7.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.6% 4.4% 4.9% 3.8% 1.6%
Alexander Stewart 6.2% 6.7% 7.2% 4.5% 6.6% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 6.7% 7.2% 6.9% 6.5% 5.7% 5.5% 4.8% 5.1% 2.7%
Robert Floyd 4.9% 4.9% 5.3% 4.8% 6.1% 4.5% 6.5% 5.8% 5.2% 4.5% 5.9% 5.3% 8.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.1% 6.8%
Andrew Mollerus 8.0% 7.1% 6.1% 5.9% 7.7% 6.1% 6.0% 6.7% 7.0% 4.9% 9.0% 5.3% 4.9% 4.4% 5.0% 3.2% 2.7%
Raul Rios 10.4% 11.0% 9.2% 9.3% 8.1% 7.9% 7.2% 5.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.5% 4.2% 3.3% 3.8% 2.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Connor Corgard 6.2% 5.5% 6.2% 7.2% 6.4% 7.5% 6.8% 6.2% 7.1% 6.1% 5.0% 6.2% 6.2% 5.2% 6.1% 3.6% 2.5%
Sean Cornell 5.6% 5.6% 6.3% 4.8% 4.9% 6.3% 7.2% 7.3% 6.4% 6.1% 6.7% 7.1% 6.8% 6.0% 4.4% 4.8% 3.7%
Maximiliano Agnese 6.6% 5.1% 6.2% 7.4% 4.9% 6.4% 5.2% 4.7% 6.2% 5.4% 5.9% 6.7% 6.0% 7.1% 5.8% 5.5% 4.9%
Will Holz 4.7% 4.7% 4.1% 5.6% 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.7% 6.2% 6.4% 6.5% 6.1% 5.9% 6.8% 5.9% 6.6% 5.0%
Charles Lomax 4.0% 4.3% 5.4% 6.4% 5.4% 4.9% 6.4% 6.5% 6.4% 6.5% 5.6% 6.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.8% 6.1% 6.6%
William Crary 3.0% 3.3% 3.6% 3.3% 3.0% 3.2% 3.3% 4.6% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 6.0% 5.2% 7.9% 7.2% 14.4% 18.2%
Bradley Adam 6.3% 6.8% 6.7% 6.3% 6.9% 6.9% 5.6% 6.3% 6.4% 5.5% 6.3% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 5.4% 4.0% 3.3%
Kyle Comerford 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 4.8% 5.3% 7.8% 6.7% 9.5% 12.6% 25.0%
Nathan Allman 3.6% 4.5% 3.6% 5.0% 5.2% 5.2% 4.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.6% 5.1% 7.4% 5.8% 7.0% 9.4% 9.7% 8.1%
Scott Barbano 5.5% 5.7% 5.2% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 5.2% 6.3% 4.4% 6.1% 7.7% 6.0% 5.8% 6.7% 8.0% 6.1% 4.7%
Ryan Astwood 5.1% 5.8% 7.1% 6.8% 6.1% 6.7% 8.0% 7.2% 5.4% 7.7% 5.1% 6.4% 5.5% 5.7% 4.4% 4.0% 3.0%
Avery Fanning 9.1% 9.1% 9.7% 7.9% 8.0% 7.6% 6.8% 6.9% 6.4% 5.8% 5.6% 4.3% 3.6% 3.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.