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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.59vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+7.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+7.07vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.40vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.16vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72+1.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+1.42vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-1.04vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.73-2.56vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.26vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-4.52vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.23vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-3.41vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-6.84vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.59-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.07Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.7Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.26SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.16Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
| Raul Rios | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 24.8% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| William Crary | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 17.2% |
| Will Holz | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.