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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.38vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+10.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+4.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+3.45vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.59+1.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.29vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-0.62vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-3.44vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-2.53vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.27-1.88vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-3.18vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-2.27vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.72-6.76vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-6.86vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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12.22SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.47Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.12Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.82Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.24Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.14Fordham University3.520.0%1st Place
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 24.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Raul Rios | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| William Crary | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 17.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Will Holz | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Bradley Adam | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.