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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+7.21vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+7.41vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+6.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+3.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.71vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+2.23vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-0.63vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+0.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.49-3.32vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.56vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-5.37vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-1.47vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.19-6.32vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-6.95vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.37Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.53University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.8SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| John Rolander | 9.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 24.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% |
| John Lawless | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.