Race 3B

harry-anderson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Ty Ingram 12.1% 11.0% 8.9% 8.6% 7.1% 8.2% 6.7% 8.2% 6.4% 5.0% 5.5% 4.2% 3.2% 1.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Harry Koeppel 8.2% 8.9% 6.0% 7.9% 7.8% 7.3% 7.4% 5.5% 8.8% 5.3% 5.8% 5.5% 5.9% 3.7% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7%
Patrick Shanahan 8.1% 7.3% 7.7% 9.8% 6.5% 5.7% 6.7% 7.1% 6.2% 7.4% 3.9% 6.3% 5.9% 4.5% 3.0% 2.4% 1.5%
Nikole Barnes 10.2% 9.1% 8.0% 7.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.4% 6.5% 6.2% 7.0% 5.3% 5.3% 3.5% 3.6% 2.0% 2.1% 0.9%
Max Neubelt 3.7% 4.7% 6.0% 3.0% 5.1% 5.4% 4.8% 5.2% 6.3% 5.3% 6.6% 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.5% 8.8% 7.7%
Ravi Parent 5.9% 6.2% 4.7% 5.7% 7.1% 6.9% 6.3% 7.2% 5.7% 6.5% 6.6% 6.8% 5.3% 6.3% 5.2% 4.6% 3.0%
Megan Yeigh 5.3% 4.5% 4.7% 4.2% 5.0% 4.6% 6.1% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 6.8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.0% 7.1% 6.2% 4.1%
Marek Zaleski 8.4% 7.1% 8.4% 8.3% 7.1% 6.2% 6.7% 6.0% 5.7% 7.0% 5.9% 5.2% 5.0% 4.3% 4.1% 3.3% 1.3%
Jonathan Lutz 3.9% 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 4.7% 6.1% 6.0% 5.8% 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 7.3% 6.1% 7.1% 7.9% 7.8% 5.3%
Duncan Williford 5.2% 5.4% 5.6% 8.9% 5.9% 5.8% 7.5% 7.8% 6.2% 5.1% 6.1% 5.7% 6.4% 5.5% 5.6% 4.4% 2.9%
Alison Knoles 2.7% 1.9% 3.1% 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 4.7% 6.1% 7.0% 10.0% 12.6% 25.3%
Drew Gallagher 3.7% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 5.1% 4.8% 5.1% 5.1% 4.7% 5.0% 6.6% 6.0% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 8.1% 7.1%
John Rolander 7.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 8.7% 7.4% 6.1% 7.9% 6.5% 5.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.3% 3.5% 3.1% 1.5%
Stewart Draheim 3.9% 5.7% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 4.4% 5.5% 5.2% 6.2% 5.6% 6.4% 7.4% 6.0% 7.1% 8.5% 7.9% 4.6%
Casey Klingler 5.0% 5.4% 6.5% 4.5% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 5.1% 5.2% 7.0% 7.0% 6.2% 6.6% 7.7% 6.4% 5.5% 5.1%
John Lawless 2.3% 1.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 3.5% 3.7% 4.8% 4.6% 6.6% 8.7% 9.2% 14.0% 25.5%
Connor Godfrey 3.8% 5.7% 7.6% 5.0% 5.3% 7.2% 4.7% 6.1% 4.9% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 7.6% 6.7% 6.2% 6.6% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.