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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+5.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.48vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.24+8.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+5.71vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+4.11vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+1.24vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.53vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.70vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19-1.01vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.97vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-3.12vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.11-3.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.21vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.19vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-5.99vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-9.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.48Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.6University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.81SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.01Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 23.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% |
| Harry Koeppel | 9.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| John Lawless | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 25.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| John Rolander | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.