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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+5.81vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+5.76vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+4.17vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+4.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+5.60vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.71vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-1.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.75vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.85vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98-2.12vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.05vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-4.95vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-5.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.38vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.56Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.6University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.71Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.79Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.04SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| John Rolander | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 24.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| John Lawless | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.