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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+6.73vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+6.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+3.92vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+4.24vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.24+6.62vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+2.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43-0.99vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.17vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.97vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.38vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-2.97vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-6.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-5.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.37vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.62University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.47Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.89Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.03SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 23.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| John Rolander | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% |
| John Lawless | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.