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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.45vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+5.74vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+4.16vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+4.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.42vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.95vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.92vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-1.18vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-2.06vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+1.70vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-3.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-3.96vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-7.19vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.41vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.98-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Yale University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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11.92SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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6.82Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.94Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.7University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.0%1st Place
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6.81Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 27.6% |
| Harry Koeppel | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 23.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| John Rolander | 10.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.