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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.45vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+6.95vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+4.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+5.85vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+2.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+1.22vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+1.19vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19+0.14vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.93vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24+1.82vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-2.43vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-4.60vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.00vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.34vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.83vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.14Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.82University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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8.57Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.66Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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12.17SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| John Rolander | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 23.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| John Lawless | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.