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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.00vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+5.31vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.24+7.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.09vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.59vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11-0.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.39vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.97vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.90vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-4.75vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-6.04vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-5.78vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.0Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.92Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.53Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.97SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 26.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| John Lawless | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 27.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| John Rolander | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.